江西省双季早稻长势定量等级指标的研究     

田俊  黄淑娥  辜晓青 《气象与减灾研究》2012,35(2):57-60

利用2010—2011年江西省有代表性的12个县(市)共34个观测点的双季早稻农业气象观测资料,采用频数分析方法,研究建立了江西省双季早稻长势观测定量指标。结果表明,在各主要生育期,不同苗情的早稻,其叶面积指数与单株干物质重量差异明显,可用于早稻长势的定量评价。产量分析表明,研究建立的双季早稻长势定量等级指标可用于实际。  相似文献   

2014年于田M_S7.3地震序列的频谱特征分析及其前震识别     

郑建常  王鹏  许崇涛  徐芳芳 《中国地震》2015,31(2):253-261

利用新疆区域数字地震台网的波形资料,对2014年2月12日于田MS7.3地震前震和余震序列的频谱特征进行了分析。基于Brune模型,对观测记录进行仪器响应、传播路径和场地响应的校正,使用遗传算法对于田地震序列103次ML≥3.0地震的震源谱进行了反演计算。结果表明:1前震序列的拐角频率相对偏低,扣除地震矩影响后,余震的拐角频率有明显增高的趋势;2距离震中最近的YUT台资料分析显示,于田地震几次前震活动的台站观测谱相对较为独立,与主震以及彼此之间的相关系数均不高;3序列事件和主震的台站观测谱相关系数的变化反映了序列发展的动态破裂过程,相关系数较低的事件基本上偏离了主震破裂区而发生在分支断裂上;4前震的震源谱中存在异常的高频成份。  相似文献   

Model and parameter uncertainty in IDF relationships under climate change     

《Advances in water resources》2015

Quantifying distributional behavior of extreme events is crucial in hydrologic designs. Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) relationships are used extensively in engineering especially in urban hydrology, to obtain return level of extreme rainfall event for a specified return period and duration. Major sources of uncertainty in the IDF relationships are due to insufficient quantity and quality of data leading to parameter uncertainty due to the distribution fitted to the data and uncertainty as a result of using multiple GCMs. It is important to study these uncertainties and propagate them to future for accurate assessment of return levels for future. The objective of this study is to quantify the uncertainties arising from parameters of the distribution fitted to data and the multiple GCM models using Bayesian approach. Posterior distribution of parameters is obtained from Bayes rule and the parameters are transformed to obtain return levels for a specified return period. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method using Metropolis Hastings algorithm is used to obtain the posterior distribution of parameters. Twenty six CMIP5 GCMs along with four RCP scenarios are considered for studying the effects of climate change and to obtain projected IDF relationships for the case study of Bangalore city in India. GCM uncertainty due to the use of multiple GCMs is treated using Reliability Ensemble Averaging (REA) technique along with the parameter uncertainty. Scale invariance theory is employed for obtaining short duration return levels from daily data. It is observed that the uncertainty in short duration rainfall return levels is high when compared to the longer durations. Further it is observed that parameter uncertainty is large compared to the model uncertainty.  相似文献   

汶川余震前甘陕交界扰动异常的定源探索     

张希  王庆良  贾鹏 《中国地震研究》2015,29(2):258-264

Abnormal disturbances, s uch as sharp pulses, w ere observed by vertical pendulum tiltmeters in Wudu, Hanzhong and Ningshaan seismic stations on August 6, 2008.According to the time and spatial location of the anomalies,we build a"source precursor"propagator to calculate possible focal region by aid of quasi-Newton least squares and grid search methods. The calculated focal region is located at the aftershock area of the Wenchuan earthquake on the northern section of Longmenshan fault zone,which may be related to the 54km-away M S5. 0 Pingwu-Beichuan earthquake,with starting time of about thirty three hours before the earthquake.  相似文献   

2012年6月30日新疆新源-和静MS6.6地震序列震源机制解?     

冉慧敏  张志斌  赵庆 《中国地震研究》2015,29(2):247-257

In this article,we use the CAP method to invert the focal mechanism of Xinyuan-Hejing M S6. 6 earthquake on June 30,2012. Our result shows that the best double couple solution of the M S6. 6 event is 299°,68° and 164° for strike,dip and rake angles respectively. The other nodal plane is 35°,75° and 23°. The azimuth and dip angle of the P-axis are 166°and 5°,those of the T-axis are 258° and 26°. The moment magnitude is 6. 3. The estimated focal depth is about 21 km. The predominant rupture direction of this seismic sequence is NWW. The dip angles are between 60° and 90°. The rake angles are in the majority of ± 180°± 30°. The predominant strike of the azimuthal angle of the P-axis is near NS and T-axis is near EW. Preliminary analysis indicates that nodal plane I is the seismogenic fault,which is a NWW-trending,nearly upright left-lateral strike-slip fault.The displacement property,the principal compressive stress of this M S6. 6 earthquake and the P-axis preponderant orientation of this seismic sequence agree with the characteristics of the tectonic stress field of the focal area and its surroundings.  相似文献   

Chemometric Interpretation on the Occurrence of Endocrine Disruptors in Source Water from Malaysia          下载免费PDF全文

Veerasingan Armugam Santhi  Hafizan Juahir  Ananthy Retnam  Ali Mohd Mustafa 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2015,43(6):804-810

  相似文献   

Decameter Type III-Like Bursts     

V. N. Mel’nik  A. A. Konovalenko  H. O. Rucker  B. P. Rutkevych  V. V. Dorovskyy  E. P. Abranin  A. I. Brazhenko  A. A. Stanislavskii  A. Lecacheux 《Solar physics》2008,250(1):133-145

We report the first observations of Type III-like bursts at frequencies 10 – 30 MHz. More than 1000 such bursts during 2002 – 2004 have been analyzed. The frequency drift of these bursts is several times that of decameter Type III bursts. A typical duration of the Type III-like bursts is 1 – 2 s. These bursts are mainly observed when the source active region is located within a few days from the central meridian. The drift rate of the Type III-like bursts can take a large value by considering the velocity of Type III electrons and the group velocity of generated electromagnetic waves.  相似文献   

珠三角沿海地区土壤硒的来源和富集成因初探     

邱啸飞 《华南地质与矿产》2019,35(4):441-448

本文总结了珠三角沿海地区土壤硒含量的分布特征及其与成土母质的关系,探讨了该区域土壤中硒的来源及富集影响因素,提出珠三角地区土壤富硒是亚热带季风性气候湿热条件下花岗岩类强烈化学风化和富集改造的结果,土壤富硒作用的实质是杂质元素从成土母质中大量活化并分离移出,从而使硒元素发生相对富集的过程。本文对珠三角沿海地区土壤硒富集规律的总结显示该地区硒资源具有巨大潜力,具有广阔的开发富硒资源前景。  相似文献   

鄂尔多斯盆地西南部长8段砂岩沥青地球化学特征及其来源分析     

王自翔  王永莉  孙则朋  朱深圳  汪亘  徐亮  孙丽娜 《海相油气地质》2017,22(2)

系统采集了鄂尔多斯盆地西南部地区延长组8段沥青砂岩,对砂岩沥青的地球化学特征进行了研究,探讨了沥青的母质特征、形成环境和成熟度。研究结果表明:(1)长8段砂岩沥青中高碳数的正构烷烃优势明显,规则甾烷中C_(29)含量相对较高,萜烷系列中四环萜烷含量较高,C_(24)四环萜烷/(C_(24)四环萜烷+C_(26)三环萜烷)的值为0.26~0.52,C_(23)三环萜烷/(C_(23)三环萜烷+C_(30)藿烷)的值分布范围为0.06~0.41,这些都指示研究区长8段砂岩沥青母质来源为混合型,并且陆源有机质贡献较大;(2)砂岩沥青中Pr/Ph为0.67~1.07,同时,沥青中检测出低丰度的β胡萝卜烷,说明沥青形成环境为弱氧化—弱还原环境,较低丰度的伽马蜡烷与C_(30)+藿烷指示沥青的母质形成于淡水或微咸水湖泊环境;(3)长8段砂岩沥青的C31藿烷22S/(22S+22R)、C_(29)甾烷20S/(20S+20R)、C_(29)甾烷ββ/(αα+ββ)和C_(29)重排甾烷20S/(20S+20R)均接近或已经达到平衡值,反映沥青为成熟沥青。将研究结果与已报道潜在烃源岩的生物标志化合物特征进行对比,显示出研究区长8段砂岩沥青主要来源于延长组7段烃源岩,表明长7段烃源岩是研究区最主要的烃源岩之一。  相似文献   

塔里木盆地西南地区早中寒武世岩相古地理     

姜海健  储呈林  杨鑫  陈强路  岳勇  邵志兵 《海相油气地质》2017,22(1)

塔里木盆地西南地区早中寒武世岩相古地理存在一定争议,这制约了该区的勘探评价。综合利用露头、钻井和地震资料,开展沉积相、地震相分析,并结合区域构造背景,恢复了岩相古地理格局,提出了相应的沉积模式。中下寒武统发育陆棚相、开阔台地相、局限台地相、蒸发台地相和缓坡相。震旦纪末期麦盖提斜坡南部形成水下低隆起,向南在西南坳陷区残留部分被动陆缘,主要发育缓坡相、陆棚相;麦盖提斜坡区地势较高,地层较薄,主要发育局限台地和蒸发台地潮坪;巴楚隆起区水体局限,在干燥炎热气候下形成了厚度较大的蒸发台地膏盐湖沉积。巴楚隆起区和麦盖提斜坡区中下寒武统膏盐岩分布广泛,与下伏碳酸盐岩可构成良好的储盖组合,西南坳陷区残留部分被动陆缘,烃源岩发育条件较好,这表明塔西南具有较好的油气前景。  相似文献